Wednesday, October 2, 2013

Contemplating The Nightmare Scenario Between The U.S. And China

Image credit: Wikicommons

China’s Fear Of US May Tempt Them To Preempt: Sinologists -- Breaking Defense

Sun Tzu said: Whoever is first in the field and awaits the coming of the enemy will be fresh for the fight; whoever is second in the field and has to hasten to battle will arrive exhausted.

WASHINGTON: Because China believes it is much weaker than the United States, they are more likely to launch a massive preemptive strike in a crisis. Here’s the other bad news: The current US concept for high-tech warfare, known as Air-Sea Battle, might escalate the conflict even further towards a “limited” nuclear war, says one of the top American experts on the Chinese military.

What US analysts call an “anti-access/area denial” strategy is what China calls “counter-intervention” and “active defense,” and the Chinese appraoch is born of a deep sense of vulnerability that dates back 200 years, China analyst Larry Wortzel said at the Institute of World Politics: “The People’s Liberation Army still sees themselves as an inferior force to the American military, and that’s who they think their most likely enemy is.”

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My Comment: The Japanese pursued this policy of preemption in 1941 on US forces at Pearl Harbor .... and we all know what happened there. A U.S. - Sino conflict .... especially if the Chinese are the aggressors .... will not be short and it will not be limited. It will quickly escalate into be a war where all guns will be blazing .... and it will be a long conflict .... both hot and cold .... with the prospect of a nuclear exchange in the background.

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